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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Alverca — Rio Ave

Predictions by Market: Alverca vs Rio Ave

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
W L L D L Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverkaduribajo Referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALV
58%
Best 1.95
Draw
25%
Best 3.66
Away Win · RIO
17%
Best 4.40
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.79
Fair odds
1.57
book 1.79 · +13.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 64% · EV +13.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 17.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 39%
Odds 3.19
Show model details
Implied probability 31.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 15.8%
Odds 9.20
Show model details
Implied probability 10.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 83.1%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 84.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 16.9%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 17.4%
Odds 3.09
Show model details
Implied probability 32.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ALV – RIO @ 1.79
+13.8%
Edge
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