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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › GIL Vicente — Maritimo

Predictions by Market: GIL Vicente vs Maritimo

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 D L L D W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
Maritimo
Maritimo
L L L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee Bruno Pires Costa

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIC
46%
Best 2.03
Draw
28%
Best 3.42
Away Win · MAR
29%
Best 4.10
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.56
Fair odds
3.47
book 3.56 · +2.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +2.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.8%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.98
Show model details
Implied probability 33.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
VIC – MAR @ 3.56
+2.6%
Edge
Forecast →