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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › GIL Vicente — Maritimo

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 D L L D W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
Maritimo
Maritimo
L L L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee Bruno Pires Costa
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 46% · book 2.00 ✗
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 33% · book 2.98 ✗
Miss
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 46% · book 1.45 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
1 / 5
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.56 — +2.6% better than the market.

GIL Vicente shows stronger recent form and a slight edge in points per game, suggesting home momentum could be key. Their ability to secure wins in tight matches contrasts with Maritimo's mixed results, hinting at a more compact and resilient home setup.

  • Home side's recent wins build confidence
  • Maritimo's inconsistency may limit attacking threat
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

Expect a tactical battle where GIL Vicente's home edge and steadier form might just tip the balance in a closely contested Primeira Liga fixture.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.56 ✗ Lost
AI 29% Implied 28% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

VIC 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-4-2
VIC · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · MAR 30 Lucão 47 Esgaio 39 Buatu 4 Elimbi Gilbert 45 Moreira 12 Lausen 86 Prioste 77 Murilo ⚽ 10 García 20 Martins 23 Hernández 30 Vieites 2 Julião 44 Correia 22 Szalai 23 Henrique 8 Dominguez 18 Danilović 6 Andrade 10 Tejón 14 Guzzo 17 Butzke
Subs used · VIC
71' Kaba ↑ · Hernandez ↓
84' Fernandes ↑ · Souza ↓
88' Fernandez ↑ · Lausen ↓
88' Espigares ↑ · Martins ↓
Subs used · MAR
45' Varela ↑ · Danilović ↓
67' Boakye ↑ · Butzke ↓
67' Ayuma ↑ · Dominguez ↓
78' Bassouamina ↑ · Tejón ↓
78' Alani ↑ · Andrade ↓

Statistics

VIC 1 – 1 MAR
60%
Possession (%)
40%
19
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

13 · 1 – 1
Murilo Souza
Assist · Gil Pinto Martins · 1–0
⚽
7'
45'
⇄
Nilton Varela ↓ · Vladan Danilović ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 1 – 0
Santiago García González
Yellow Card
▮
54'
56'
▮
Rodri Andrade
Yellow Card
67'
⇄
Maurice Boakye ↓ · Adrián Butzke ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
Israel Isaac Ayuma ↓ · Maxime Dominguez ↑
Substitution 3
Mohamed Kaba ↓ · Hector Hernandez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
71'
78'
⇄
Mons Rogeani Bassouamina ↓ · Martín Tejón ↑
Substitution 4
78'
⇄
Ibrahim Akitunde Alani ↓ · Rodri Andrade ↑
Substitution 5
Joelson Fernandes ↓ · Murilo Souza ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
84'
Martin Fernandez ↓ · Andreas Lausen ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
88'
Antonio Espigares ↓ · Gil Pinto Martins ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
90+3'
⚽
Israel Isaac Ayuma
Assist · Maurice Boakye · 1–1
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

GIL Vicente and Maritimo drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 4 on target.

On the scoresheet: Murilo Souza (7'), Israel Isaac Ayuma (90+3').

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 1 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.70 units (Brier 0.229).

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 1 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.00 1.98 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.98 2.80 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.45 1.45 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.56 3.92 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.30 3.30 28% Cashed +2.30 Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each — — — 1 W · 4 L −1.70u −34% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
VIC – MAR @ 3.56
+2.6%
Edge
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