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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Sporting CP — Arouca

Predictions by Market: Sporting CP vs Arouca

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 19:30
2:2
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
L W D L D Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SPO
80%
Best 1.17
Draw
15%
Best 8.90
Away Win · ARO
5%
Best 16.50
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.92
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.92 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 60% · EV +14.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.1%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 85.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 15%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 5%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40.2%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 6.13
Show model details
Implied probability 16.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 19.9%
Odds 4.65
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
SPO – ARO @ 1.92
+14.5%
Edge
Forecast →