P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Casa Pia — FC Porto

Predictions by Market: Casa Pia vs FC Porto

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L D L W L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 17:00
1:4
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W W W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CAS
14%
Best 16.50
Draw
18%
Best 7.80
Away Win · POR
68%
Best 1.20
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.32
Fair odds
2.12
book 2.32 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +9.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (53%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 13.9%
Odds 12.95
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18%
Odds 5.82
Show model details
Implied probability 17.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.1%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.1%
Odds 11.85
Show model details
Implied probability 8.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 13.9%
Odds 8.40
Show model details
Implied probability 11.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 31.9%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
CAS – POR @ 2.32
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →