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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Famalicao — Sporting CP

Predictions by Market: Famalicao vs Sporting CP

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 L D D D W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 19:30
1:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
W W D D W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FAM
19%
Best 7.00
Draw
24%
Best 4.62
Away Win · SPO
57%
Best 1.52
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.48
Fair odds
2.34
book 2.48 · +6.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +6.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (81%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 66%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 19.2%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.73
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds 12.25
Show model details
Implied probability 8.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
FAM – SPO @ 2.48
+6.0%
Edge
Forecast →