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Famalicao vs Sporting CP 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 L D D D W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 19:30
1:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
W W D D W Away · last 5
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.81 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 43% · book 2.48 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.83 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
32% – 68%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.48 — +6.0% better than the market.

Sporting CP arrives with clear momentum, boasting a strong winning streak contrasting Famalicao's recent struggles. The visitors' attacking prowess and higher points per game suggest they hold the upper hand, while Famalicao's defense may face pressure throughout. Expect Sporting to control the pace, leveraging their form and offensive edge to challenge a home side that has shown resilience but limited scoring threat.

  • Sporting's confident run vs Famalicao's shaky form
  • Visitors' attacking quality likely to test home defense
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring disciplined buildup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.48 ✓ Cashed
AI 43% Implied 40% +1.48u
+148%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FAM 4-2-3-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1
Subs used · FAM
45' Beney ↑ · Dias ↓
60' Abubakar ↑ · Koutsias ↓
82' Salas ↑ · Peña ↓
83' Subiela ↑ · Moura ↓
Subs used · SPO
64' Zalazar ↑ · Guilherme ↓
64' Ioannidis ↑ · Gonçalves ↓
75' Andersen ↑ · Doumbia ↓
75' Irankunda ↑ · Catamo ↓

Statistics

FAM 1 – 1 SPO
32%
Possession (%)
68%
5
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
7
2
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

18 · 1 – 1
Roméo Beney ↓ · Gil Dias ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Gil Dias
Yellow Card
▮
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Umar Abubakar ↓ · Georgios Koutsias ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
64'
⇄
Rodrigo Zalazar ↓ · Luís Guilherme ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
Fotis Ioannidis ↓ · Flávio Gonçalves ↑
Substitution 2
73'
▮
Geny Catamo
Yellow Card
75'
⇄
Silas Andersen ↓ · Issa Doumbia ↑
Substitution 3
75'
⇄
Nestory Irankunda ↓ · Geny Catamo ↑
Substitution 4
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura
Yellow Card
▮
78'
Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal
Yellow Card
▮
80'
81'
⚽
Luis Suárez (P)
Penalty · 0–1
Patricio Salas ↓ · Marcos Peña ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
Óscar Aranda Subiela ↓ · Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
86'
▮
Luis Suárez
Yellow Card
Roméo Beney
Red Card
▮
87'
90'
▮
Nestory Irankunda
Yellow Card
Gonçalo Inácio
Own goal · 1–1
⚽
90+1'
90+7'
▮
Iván Fresneda
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Famalicao and Sporting CP drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 5, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Luis Suárez (81'), Gonçalo Inácio (90+1'). Roméo Beney was sent off in the 87' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.85 units (Brier 0.185).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.81 1.81 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.48 2.55 43% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.83 1.80 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.02 2.00 47% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Away Win 1.52 1.46 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 1.90 46% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Home Win 6.50 6.45 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.12 1.11 81% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 3.00 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.04 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.00 4.33 24% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 1.22 76% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 1.36 68% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.73 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.25 12.05 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.20 4.78 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.19 1.15 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.85u −11% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
FAM – SPO @ 2.48
+6.0%
Edge
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