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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Nacional — Alverca

Predictions by Market: Nacional vs Alverca

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 14:30
1:3
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L D L W W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAC
39%
Best 2.85
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · ALV
34%
Best 2.68
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.79
Fair odds
1.77
book 1.79 · +1.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 57% · EV +1.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 39%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.6%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.4%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.8%
Odds 3.24
Show model details
Implied probability 30.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.5%
Odds 8.75
Show model details
Implied probability 11.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.5%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 34.2%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
NAC – ALV @ 1.79
+1.4%
Edge
Forecast →