P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Santa Clara — Rio Ave

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 14:30
4:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
W L L D L Away · last 5
Referee A. Rodrigues
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 52% · book 1.75 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 25% · book 4.30 ✗
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 27% · book 3.46 ✗
Total goals
4
4 · 0
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
2 / 5
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.30 — +6.0% better than the market.

Santa Clara shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a Rio Ave side struggling for consistency. Their higher points per game and expected goals suggest a pressing edge and better attacking transitions. Rio Ave’s defensive frailties could be exploited, especially if Santa Clara maintains a compact block and quick set-piece threat.

  • Home side’s recent unbeaten streak builds confidence
  • Rio Ave’s patchy away form limits attacking threat
  • Match likely to favor a controlled tempo with Santa Clara pressing advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.30 ✗ Lost
AI 25% Implied 23% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SAN 4 – 0 RIO
58%
Possession (%)
42%
16
Total Shots
5
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
1
14
Shots Inside Box
3
8
Corner Kicks
2
12
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 4 – 0
Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos
Assist · Vinicius lopes · 1–0
⚽
3'
45'
⇄
Malik Sellouki ↓ · Diogo Bezerra ↑
Substitution 1
45'
⇄
Pedro Amaral ↓ · Marios Vrushai ↑
Substitution 2
45'
⇄
Sebastian Clemensen ↓ · Dario Špikić ↑
Substitution 3
Half-time · 1 – 0
Tiago Ribeiro
Assist · Gonçalo Paciência · 2–0
⚽
47'
Vinicius lopes
3–0
⚽
52'
64'
⇄
Roland Galcik ↓ · Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro ↑
Substitution 4
Dani Borges ↓ · Tiago Ribeiro ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro ↓ · Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
Joao Vasconcelos ↓ · Vinicius lopes ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
76'
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira ↓ · Gonçalo Paciência ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
77'
⇄
João Tomé Baptista ↓ · Andreas Ntoi ↑
Substitution 5
83'
▮
Tamas Nikitscher
Yellow Card
Dani Borges
Yellow Card
▮
84'
Frederico Medeiros Silva ↓ · José Tavares ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
4–0
⚽
90'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Santa Clara beat Rio Ave 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 5, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2.

On the scoresheet: Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos (3'), Tiago Ribeiro (47'), Vinicius lopes (52'), Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira (90').

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 2 landed and 3 missed, for a net -1.98 units (Brier 0.133).

Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 2 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.75 1.93 52% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Away Win 4.30 4.33 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.46 3.28 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.24 3.37 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.27 1.34 51% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each — — — 2 W · 3 L −1.98u −40% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
SAN – RIO @ 4.30
+6.0%
Edge
Forecast →