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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Alverca — Santa Clara

Predictions by Market: Alverca vs Santa Clara

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W W D W Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverkaduribajo Referee D. Rosa

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALV
36%
Best 2.75
Draw
28%
Best 3.06
Away Win · SAN
36%
Best 2.95
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.36
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.36 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 85.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 7.40
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 36.1%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
ALV – SAN @ 2.36
+13.4%
Edge
Forecast →