🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 53% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Alverca hosts Santa Clara in a Primeira Liga clash where recent form favors the visitors, who bring a bit more momentum with two wins and a draw in their last three. Alverca’s home edge is modest, but their defensive resilience could be tested by Santa Clara’s sharper attack. Expect a balanced game with signs of cautious pressing and a moderate pace, likely yielding a few goal opportunities on both ends.
- Santa Clara’s recent form suggests growing confidence
- Alverca’s home defense may face pressure
- Moderate tempo hints at a tactical, measured contest
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 36% | Santa Clara win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 52% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 53% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 64% | X2 |
- 1X2 Santa Clara win 36%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52%
- BTTS Yes 53%
- Double Chance X2 64%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Home Win · 3.24 ↓ 2.67 (-18%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Alverca
W/D/L
0-2-3
Goals (for / against)
4 / 9
Avg goals / match
2.6
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
xG (for / against)
1.04 / 1.12
Santa Clara
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
6 / 3
Avg goals / match
1.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.17 / 0.89
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Alverca wins when scoring first
67%
①
Santa Clara wins when scoring first
60%
⚽
Alverca BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Santa Clara BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Alverca Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Santa Clara Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Alverca comeback rate · last 10
25%
↩
Santa Clara comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Alverca · last 10 at home
0–15
21%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
21%
61–75
29%
76–90
29%
Santa Clara · last 10 away
0–15
44%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
11%
76–90
44%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
