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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Casa Pia — Moreirense

Predictions by Market: Casa Pia vs Moreirense

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L D L W L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 17:00
0:1
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
L L W D L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee L. M. Branco Godinho

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CAS
38%
Best 2.85
Draw
28%
Best 3.14
Away Win · MOR
37%
Best 2.77
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.61
Fair odds
1.44
book 1.61 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 69% · EV +11.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 7.70
Show model details
Implied probability 13%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 85.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.28
Show model details
Implied probability 23.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36.9%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 53.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 34.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
CAS – MOR @ 1.61
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →