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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Moreirense

Predictions Casa Pia vs Moreirense August 30, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L L L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 17:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Moreirense
Moreirense
D L Away · last 5
Home Win · CAS
41%
Best 2.24
Draw
28%
Best 3.30
Away Win · MOR
31%
Best 3.56
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.61
Fair odds
1.44
book 1.61 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 69% · EV +11.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 1.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 7.70
Show model details
Implied probability 13%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 85.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.28
Show model details
Implied probability 23.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 38%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 31.1%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.3%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
CAS – MOR @ 1.61
+11.8%
Edge
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