🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Sporting CP to win — 64% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 62%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Sporting CP enter this clash with clear momentum, showing stronger recent form and a higher scoring threat compared to Rio Ave. The visitors' attacking edge against Rio Ave's defense suggests they can unlock chances, while Rio Ave's home advantage is limited given their struggles. Expect Sporting's pressing and pace to challenge the hosts, potentially leading to a controlled but effective away performance.
- Sporting's recent consistency contrasts Rio Ave's patchy form
- Visitors' attack likely to exploit defensive gaps
- Moderate tempo hints at a balanced but away-favored game
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 64% | Sporting CP win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 62% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | No |
| Double Chance | 84% | X2 |
- 1X2 Sporting CP win 64%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62%
- BTTS No 51%
- Double Chance X2 84%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Draw · 6.17 ↓ 5.46 (-12%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Rio Ave
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
4 / 8
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
0.58 / 1.71
Sporting CP
W/D/L
4-1-0
Goals (for / against)
15 / 6
Avg goals / match
4.2
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.44 / 0.73
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Rio Ave wins when scoring first
50%
①
Sporting CP wins when scoring first
57%
⚽
Rio Ave BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Sporting CP BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Rio Ave Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↑
Sporting CP Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Rio Ave comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Sporting CP comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Rio Ave · last 10 at home
0–15
14%
16–30
29%
31–45
14%
46–60
29%
61–75
0%
76–90
14%
Sporting CP · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
10%
31–45
20%
46–60
35%
61–75
15%
76–90
20%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
