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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Rio Ave — Sporting CP

Rio Ave vs Sporting CP 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Fri 28 Aug · 19:15
0:4
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
W W D D W Away · last 5
Referee B. J. Costa
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.78 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 64% · book 1.44 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 38% · book 2.50 ✗
Total goals
4
0 · 4
xG (open play)
0.47 – 1.88
Δ −1.41
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Home 0 at 6.18 — +1.5% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with clear momentum, showing stronger recent form and a higher scoring threat compared to Rio Ave. The visitors' attacking edge against Rio Ave's defense suggests they can unlock chances, while Rio Ave's home advantage is limited given their struggles. Expect Sporting's pressing and pace to challenge the hosts, potentially leading to a controlled but effective away performance.

  • Sporting's recent consistency contrasts Rio Ave's patchy form
  • Visitors' attack likely to exploit defensive gaps
  • Moderate tempo hints at a balanced but away-favored game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Home 0
AH Home 0 @ 6.18 ✗ Lost
AI 16% Implied 16% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

RIO 4-2-3-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1
RIO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SPO 99 Gouw 5 Ndoj 23 Petrasso 39 Mancha 17 Vrousai 44 Nikitscher 54 Liavas 7 Bezerra 11 Blesa 77 Špikić 9 Monteiro 1 Silva 22 Fresneda 6 Debast 25 Inácio 20 Araújo 5 Altimira 77 Doumbia 10 Catamo ⚽ 17 Zalazar 58 Gonçalves ⚽ 97 Suárez ⚽
Subs used · RIO
66' Sellouki ↑ · Bezerra ↓
75' Galcik ↑ · Spikic ↓
75' Wenck ↑ · Nikitscher ↓
86' Caike ↑ · Blesa ↓
86' Patricio ↑ · Vrousai ↓
Subs used · SPO
65' Guilherme ↑ · Catamo ↓
65' Ioannidis ↑ · Goncalves ↓
65' Andersen ↑ · Doumbia ↓
81' Irankunda ↑ · Zalazar ↓
86' Derry ↑ · Suarez ↓

Statistics

RIO 0 – 4 SPO
39%
Possession (%)
61%
0.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.88
6
Total Shots
15
0
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
5
3
Shots Inside Box
11
2
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

16 · 0 – 4
5'
⚽
F. Goncalves
Assist · I. Doumbia · 0–1
19'
⚽
G. Catamo
Assist · F. Goncalves · 0–2
26'
⚽
L. Suarez
0–3
37'
⚽
L. Suarez
Assist · M. Araujo · 0–4
Half-time · 0 – 4
51'
▮
L. Suarez
Yellow Card
T. Nikitscher
Yellow Card
▮
60'
65'
⇄
Luis Guilherme ↓ · G. Catamo ↑
Substitution 1
65'
⇄
F. Ioannidis ↓ · F. Goncalves ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⇄
S. Andersen ↓ · I. Doumbia ↑
Substitution 3
M. Sellouki ↓ · Diogo Bezerra ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
R. Galcik ↓ · D. Spikic ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
75'
A. Wenck ↓ · T. Nikitscher ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
81'
⇄
N. Irankunda ↓ · R. Zalazar ↑
Substitution 4
Caike ↓ · J. Blesa ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
86'
⇄
J. Derry ↓ · L. Suarez ↑
Substitution 5
M. Patricio ↓ · M. Vrousai ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

Sporting CP won 4–0 away at Rio Ave. At half-time it was 0–4.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.88 to 0.47. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 6, 7 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.88 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: F. Goncalves (5'), G. Catamo (19'), L. Suarez (26'), L. Suarez (37').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.22 units (Brier 0.126).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.78 1.78 54% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 1.44 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.50 2.25 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.62 2.62 36% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.99 1.99 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 8.38 9.26 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 3.33 3.40 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.67 1.67 59% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.07 1.06 84% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Away Win 1.33 1.32 64% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.09 1.08 64% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
AH Home 0 6.18 6.71 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.25 5.13 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.03 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.33 4.33 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 1.20 80% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 18.75 14.93 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.22u −31% ROI
Value pick of the night · AH Home 0
RIO – SPO @ 6.18
+1.5%
Edge
Forecast →