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Home Portugal Primeira Liga SC Braga — Guimaraes

Preview SC Braga vs Guimaraes August 31, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
SC Braga
SC Braga
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Mon 31 Aug · 19:15
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
L L W Away · last 5
Home Win · BRA
49%
Best 1.82
Draw
25%
Best 3.75
Away Win · GUI
26%
Best 4.78

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 56% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

SC Braga hosts Guimaraes in a Primeira Liga clash where home momentum is slightly tempered by a recent draw, while Guimaraes shows signs of resilience with a win in their last three. The tactical battle may hinge on Braga's ability to break down a compact Guimaraes defense, as both sides have shown balanced form. Expect a moderately paced game with potential for goals given the openness suggested by recent encounters.

  • Home side's pressing edge could create chances
  • Guimaraes' defensive solidity may limit clear-cut opportunities
  • Moderate tempo likely to favor tactical discipline over frantic attack

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 49% SC Braga win
Over/Under 2.5 54% Over 2.5
BTTS 56% Yes
Double Chance 74% 1X
  • 1X2 SC Braga win 49%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54%
  • BTTS Yes 56%
  • Double Chance 1X 74%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
SC Braga
W/D/L 0-4-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-1
xG (for / against) 1.11 / 1.30
Guimaraes
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 3 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.78 / 0.77

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
1
2
Goals Conceded
1.33
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
4
Shots on Target
3.67
2
Corners
3.33
64
Possession (%)
50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
82
DEF · home
100
41
OFF · away
47
94
DEF · away
65
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

SC Braga wins when scoring first
20%
Guimaraes wins when scoring first
80%
SC Braga BTTS rate · last 10
90%
Guimaraes BTTS rate · last 10
30%
SC Braga Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Guimaraes Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
SC Braga comeback rate · last 10
50%
Guimaraes comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

SC Braga · last 10 at home

0–15 14%
16–30 23%
31–45 23%
46–60 9%
61–75 9%
76–90 23%

Guimaraes · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 40%
31–45 10%
46–60 10%
61–75 30%
76–90 10%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

Pau Victor
BRA · Attacker
1 G
Fran Navarro
BRA · Attacker
1 G · 1.00 g/90
A. Ndoye
GUI · Attacker
1 G · 0.54 g/90
Samu
GUI · Midfielder
1 G · 0.51 g/90