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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Estrela — SC Braga

Predictions by Market: Estrela vs SC Braga

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 W D W D L
Kick-off
Thu 10 Sep · 19:15
2:1
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L W D L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EST
25%
Best 6.03
Draw
25%
Best 3.95
Away Win · BRA
50%
Best 1.65
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.05
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.05 · +2.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 50% · EV +2.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (75%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 25.3%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.73
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.1%
Odds 10.05
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 22.9%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.1%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
EST – BRA @ 2.05
+2.6%
Edge
Forecast →