P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › GIL Vicente — Casa Pia

Predictions by Market: GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 D L L D W
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug · 19:15
2:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L D L W L Away · last 5
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee A. Rodrigues

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIC
54%
Best 1.76
Draw
26%
Best 3.64
Away Win · CAS
21%
Best 5.50
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.13
Fair odds
4.85
book 5.13 · +5.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 21% · EV +5.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (54%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 20.6%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.7%
Odds 7.30
Show model details
Implied probability 13.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 72.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 18.9%
Odds 4.17
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20.6%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
VIC – CAS @ 5.13
+5.7%
Edge
Forecast →