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Home Portugal Primeira Liga GIL Vicente — Casa Pia

Predictions GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia August 24, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 W W
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug · 19:15
2:0
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L L L Away · last 5
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee A. Rodrigues
Home Win · VIC
54%
Best 1.76
Draw
26%
Best 3.64
Away Win · CAS
21%
Best 5.50
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.13
Fair odds
4.85
book 5.13 · +5.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 21% · EV +5.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (54%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.6%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 36.2%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.7%
Odds 7.30
Show model details
Implied probability 13.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 72.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 18.9%
Odds 4.17
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 20.6%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
VIC – CAS @ 5.13
+5.7%
Edge
Forecast →