Match Estoril vs Rio Ave August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.05 — +13.4% better than the market.

Estoril hosts Rio Ave in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, though both sides have struggled for consistency. The home side shows signs of resilience with a draw and a loss recently, while Rio Ave's back-to-back defeats hint at defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a cautious tempo given the odds leaning towards fewer goals, with both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity.

Home momentum in defense could limit Rio Ave's attacking chances.
Rio Ave's recent form suggests pressing for a breakthrough but risk exposure.
Historical tight encounters hint at a compact, low-scoring match.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.05 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 49% +1.05u

+105%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EST 4-2-3-1 · RIO 4-2-3-1

EST · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · RIO

14 Begraoui

Subs used · EST

68'

Garcia ↑ ·

Brito ↓

69'

Carvalho ↑ ·

Sanchez ↓

69'

Parente ↑ ·

Medrano ↓

76'

Arnolin ↑ ·

Tsoungui ↓

76'

Peixinho ↑ ·

Guitane ↓

Subs used · RIO

52'

Ntoi ↑ ·

Galcik ↓

76'

Vrousai ↑ ·

Abbey ↓

80'

Mancha ↑ ·

Brabec ↓

80'

Spikic ↑ ·

Tamble ↓

📊 Statistics

EST 0 – 2 RIO

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.16

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 2

15'

⚽

J. Blesa

Assist · Diogo Bezerra · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

52'

⇄

A. Ntoi ↓ · R. Galcik ↑

Substitution 1

F. Medrano

Yellow Card

▮

67'

F. Garcia ↓ · T. Brito ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

68'

P. Carvalho ↓ · R. Sanchez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

T. Parente ↓ · F. Medrano ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

73'

⚽

Tamble

Assist · J. Blesa · 0–2

J. Arnolin ↓ · A. Tsoungui ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

Peixinho ↓ · R. Guitane ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

⇄

M. Vrousai ↓ · N. Abbey ↑

Substitution 2

80'

⇄

Gustavo Mancha ↓ · J. Brabec ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

D. Spikic ↓ · Tamble ↑

Substitution 4

86'

▮

A. Ntoi

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Rio Ave won 2–0 away at Estoril. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 3, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: J. Blesa (15'), Tamble (73').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.91 units (Brier 0.202).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.01	1.95	58%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
BTTS No	2.05	2.07	55%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	1.76	54%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Home Win	1.97	2.05	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.84	1.85	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	1.68	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.75	11.36	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.69	3.75	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	1.33	79%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.27	1.27	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.85	2.57	28%	Cashed	+1.85	Cashed
Away Win	3.75	3.55	28%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.44	1.52	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.97	3.00	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.50	3.34	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.04	83%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.23	1.22	65%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.91u	−5% ROI