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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Alverca

Predictions Sporting CP vs Alverca August 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D W W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 19:30
3:1
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L D L Away · last 5
Referee F. Verissimo
Home Win · SPO
69%
Best 1.20
Draw
17%
Best 8.00
Away Win · ALV
14%
Best 13.40
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.95
Fair odds
1.72
book 1.95 · +13.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 58% · EV +13.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 14%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 16.7%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 5.55
Show model details
Implied probability 18%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 42%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 14%
Odds 7.90
Show model details
Implied probability 12.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 69.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 30.7%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
SPO – ALV @ 1.95
+13.2%
Edge
Forecast →