Match Sporting CP vs Alverca August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.95 — +13.2% better than the market.

Sporting CP enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a perfect recent record compared to Alverca's struggles. The hosts' attacking rhythm and home edge should challenge Alverca's defense, despite the visitors showing some attacking promise in xG terms. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at open play and goal opportunities.

Home momentum and form advantage
Attacking pressure vs. away defensive resilience
Potential for goals given pace and recent trends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.95 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 51% +0.95u

+95%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · ALV 4-3-3

SPO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · ALV

97 Suárez ⚽

Subs used · SPO

68'

Guilherme ↑ ·

Catamo ↓

68'

Irankunda ↑ ·

Goncalves ↓

75'

Quaresma ↑ ·

Debast ↓

75'

Nel ↑ ·

Suarez ↓

88'

Lima ↑ ·

Zalazar ↓

Subs used · ALV

56'

Vidigal ↑ ·

Lucas ↓

56'

J. Merheg ↑ ·

Semedo ↓

66'

Essimi ↑ ·

Chissumba ↓

75'

Moreira ↑ ·

Luccas ↓

75'

Kassary ↑ ·

Gui ↓

📊 Statistics

SPO 3 – 1 ALV

69%

Possession (%)

31%

0.24

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.04

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 3 – 1

M. Araujo

1–0

⚽

16'

▮

Y. Bojang

Yellow Card

G. Catamo

Yellow Card

▮

22'

39'

▮

D. Gui

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

Matheus Mendes

Own goal · 2–0

⚽

55'

56'

⇄

A. Vidigal ↓ · Rayan Lucas ↑

Substitution 1

56'

⇄

S. J. Merheg ↓ · V. Semedo ↑

Substitution 2

L. Suarez

Assist · G. Catamo · 3–0

⚽

60'

66'

⇄

M. Essimi ↓ · Chissumba ↑

Substitution 3

Luis Guilherme ↓ · G. Catamo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

68'

N. Irankunda ↓ · F. Goncalves ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

74'

▮

M. Essimi

Yellow Card

75'

⇄

V. Moreira ↓ · Ian Luccas ↑

Substitution 4

75'

⇄

Z. Kassary ↓ · D. Gui ↑

Substitution 5

E. Quaresma ↓ · Z. Debast ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

R. Nel ↓ · L. Suarez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

Pedro Lima ↓ · R. Zalazar ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

⚽

Figueiredo

Assist · V. Moreira · 3–1

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Sporting CP beat Alverca 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.24 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Araujo (2'), Matheus Mendes (55'), L. Suarez (60'), Figueiredo (88').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.05 units (Brier 0.107).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.95	2.02	58%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.18	2.25	45%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.69	1.62	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.61	2.44	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.80	1.73	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	12.00	12.99	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.33	4.27	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.90	9.09	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.50	6.76	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.43	1.47	66%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.04	1.04	86%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Home Win	1.21	1.20	69%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.03	1.02	69%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.11	1.13	85%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.55	5.49	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−5.05u	−34% ROI