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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Santa Clara — Famalicao

Predictions by Market: Santa Clara vs Famalicao

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Famalicao
Famalicao
L D D D W Away · last 5
Referee I. Vasilica

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SAN
38%
Best 2.90
Draw
29%
Best 2.94
Away Win · FAM
33%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.53
Fair odds
2.19
book 2.53 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (54%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.53
Show model details
Implied probability 39.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 28.9%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.53
Show model details
Implied probability 39.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 39%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 4.83
Show model details
Implied probability 20.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Value pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 93%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 6.85
Show model details
Implied probability 14.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 49%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 56%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
SAN – FAM @ 2.53
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →