Match Santa Clara vs Famalicao August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.53 — +15.0% better than the market.

Santa Clara shows home momentum with a recent unbeaten run, while Famalicao struggles on the road. The home side's better recent form and solid defensive shape could limit Famalicao's attacking threat. Expect a tactical battle with moderate pace, as both teams have similar goal expectancy but contrasting form trends.

Santa Clara's home resilience offers a pressing edge.
Famalicao's away struggles may hinder their offensive flow.
Moderate tempo suggests a compact, strategic match.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.53 ✗ Lost

AI 46% Implied 40% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAN 4-2-3-1 · FAM 4-2-3-1

SAN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · FAM

9 Paciência ⚽

Subs used · SAN

62'

Torrao ↑ ·

Lopes ↓

62'

Brenner ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

73'

Ribeiro ↑ ·

Borges ↓

73'

Fernando ↑ ·

Paciencia ↓

87'

Silva ↑ ·

Tavares ↓

Subs used · FAM

46'

Beney ↑ ·

Dias ↓

65'

Aranda ↑ ·

Santos ↓

81'

Szucs ↑ ·

Realpe ↓

86'

Almeida ↑ ·

Koutsias ↓

86'

Jangeal ↑ ·

Bondo ↓

📊 Statistics

SAN 1 – 0 FAM

32%

Possession (%)

68%

1.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.05

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 0

G. Paciencia

Assist · Sorriso · 1–0

⚽

22'

Vinicius Lopes

Yellow Card

▮

26'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

R. Beney ↓ · Gil Dias ↑

Substitution 1

Welinton Torrao ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

Brenner ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

65'

⇄

O. Aranda ↓ · P. Santos ↑

Substitution 2

T. Ribeiro ↓ · Daniel Borges ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

Fernando ↓ · G. Paciencia ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

75'

▮

L. Realpe

Yellow Card

80'

▮

M. De Amorim

Yellow Card

81'

⇄

T. Szucs ↓ · L. Realpe ↑

Substitution 3

86'

⇄

R. Almeida ↓ · G. Koutsias ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

M. Jangeal ↓ · Pedro Bondo ↑

Substitution 5

H. Silva ↓ · J. Tavares ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

88'

▮

M. Jangeal

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Santa Clara beat Famalicao 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Paciencia (22').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.27 units (Brier 0.213).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.53	2.72	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.01	2.15	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.53	2.84	38%	Cashed	+1.53	Cashed
BTTS No	1.72	1.64	49%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.57	2.45	29%	Cashed	+1.57	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.11	1.92	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.79	1.95	38%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	1.40	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.83	5.99	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.57	1.57	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.95	2.78	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	1.42	67%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	3.03	2.84	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.53	1.44	54%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	1.10	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.15	1.12	75%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 0.5	6.85	5.95	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.27u	−19% ROI