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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Santa Clara — Nacional

Predictions Santa Clara vs Nacional August 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W W
Kick-off
Mon 10 Aug · 19:15
2:2
Full-time
Nacional
Nacional
D W L Away · last 5
Referee H. Carvalho
Home Win · SAN
47%
Best 1.97
Draw
27%
Best 3.22
Away Win · NAC
27%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.78
book 4.10 · +8.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 26% · EV +8.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (47%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 26.5%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.2%
Odds 7.60
Show model details
Implied probability 13.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.01
Show model details
Implied probability 33.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SAN – NAC @ 4.10
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →