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Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Pogon Szczecin — Radomiak Radom

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Home · last 5 D W L W D
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 13:45
2:2
Full-time
Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom
W W D L L Away · last 5
Florian-Krygier-Stadion · Szczecin Referee Piotr Lasyk, Poland
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 60% · book 1.85 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.55 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.38 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 17.00 — +14.8% better than the market.

Radomiak Radom enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, suggesting they could control the tempo at Stadion Miejski. Pogon’s home momentum is tempered by defensive vulnerabilities against Radomiak’s efficient attack, hinting at a tactical battle where the visitors’ pressing and transition play may pay off.

  • Radomiak’s offensive edge challenges Pogon’s defense
  • Home side’s inconsistent form limits dominance
  • Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5
Under 0.5 @ 17.00 ✗ Lost
AI 7% Implied 6% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

POG 2 – 2 RAD
44%
Possession (%)
56%
15
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
3
9
Corner Kicks
7
7
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
15
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
5
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.05 units (Brier 0.197).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.85 — 60% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS No 2.55 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.38 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.64 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 — 53% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Home Win 2.04 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.55 — 31% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 — 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.45 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.34 — 64% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.54 — 56% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 93% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.53 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.81 — 24% Cashed +2.81 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 — 76% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.05u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
POG – RAD @ 17.00
+14.8%
Edge
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