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Home France Ligue 1 Marseille — Lens

Preview Marseille vs Lens May 16, 2027 — Preview and Prediction

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sun 16 May · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Lens
Lens
W Away · last 5
Home Win · MAR
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · LEN
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Marseille
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.96 / 1.66
Lens
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 2.07 / 1.36

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
4
Goals Scored
5
0
Goals Conceded
2
1.89
Expected Goals (xG)
4.45
8
Shots on Target
9
3
Corners
4
67
Possession (%)
53
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
56
OFF · home
89
89
DEF · home
22
OFF · away
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Marseille wins when scoring first
71%
Lens wins when scoring first
80%
Marseille BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Lens BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Marseille Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Lens Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Marseille comeback rate · last 10
0%
Lens comeback rate · last 10
25%

🔥 Goal timing

Marseille · last 10 at home

0–15 29%
16–30 0%
31–45 5%
46–60 24%
61–75 14%
76–90 29%

Lens · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 10%
31–45 19%
46–60 29%
61–75 10%
76–90 33%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

A. Gouiri
MAR · Attacker
2 G · 2.00 g/90
K. Abdallah
MAR · Attacker
1 G
F. Thauvin
LEN · Attacker
2 G · 2.00 g/90
F. Ivanović
LEN · Forward
1 G