P
Prognosist
P
Home › France › Ligue 1 › Marseille — Lens

Prediction: Marseille vs Lens, May 16

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 16 May · 15:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Lens
Lens
L L D L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MAR
—%
Best —
Draw
—%
Best —
Away Win · LEN
—%
Best —
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Marseille
W/D/L 1-0-4
Goals (for / against) 6 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.36 / 1.14
Lens
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.60 / 1.37

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.50
Goals Scored
1.83
1.33
Goals Conceded
1.67
0.75
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
4.50
Shots on Target
6.50
4.33
Corners
7
57.50
Possession (%)
50.17
99.97
Efficiency index
93.99
94.18
Adjusted index
120.66
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
56
OFF · home
78
22
DEF · home
44
17
OFF · away
94
78
DEF · away
33
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Marseille wins when scoring first
100%
①
Lens wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
Marseille BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Lens BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Marseille Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Lens Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Marseille comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Lens comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Marseille · last 10 at home

0–15 24%
16–30 0%
31–45 5%
46–60 29%
61–75 14%
76–90 29%

Lens · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 11%
31–45 26%
46–60 37%
61–75 11%
76–90 16%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

A. Gouiri
MAR · Attacker
4 G · 0.80 g/90
K. Abdallah
MAR · Midfielder
1 G
F. Thauvin
LEN · Attacker
3 G · 0.50 g/90
F. Ivanović
LEN · Forward
2 G · 1.00 g/90