Tottenham vs Brentford 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.10 — +12.0% better than the market.

Tottenham hosts Brentford in a clash where home momentum is lacking, reflected in Tottenham's recent poor form. Brentford's sharper attack meets a slightly vulnerable Tottenham defense, suggesting a tactical battle with chances for both sides. The home edge is mild but present, and the match may lean towards a compact, cautious approach given the moderate goal expectations.

Brentford's better recent form and attacking threat
Tottenham's home defensive resilience
Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.10 ✗ Lost

AI 27% Implied 24% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

TOT 4-2-3-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1

TOT · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BRE

9 Richarlison ⚽

Subs used · TOT

65'

Palhinha ↑ ·

Bentancur ↓

74'

Odobert ↑ ·

Kolo Muani ↓

80'

M. Sarr ↑ ·

Kudus ↓

81'

Danso ↑ ·

Romero ↓

Subs used · BRE

46'

Henry ↑ ·

Ajer ↓

61'

Jensen ↑ ·

Damsgaard ↓

76'

Hickey ↑ ·

Kayode ↓

76'

Janelt ↑ ·

Yarmolyuk ↓

88'

Lewis-Potter ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

Statistics

TOT 2 – 0 BRE

53%

Possession (%)

47%

2.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.29

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 2 – 0

Richarlison

Assist · X. Simons · 1–0

⚽

25'

29'

▮

Michael Kayode

Yellow Card

Cristian Romero

Yellow Card

▮

31'

X. Simons

2–0

⚽

43'

45'

▮

Kristoffer Ajer

Yellow Card

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

R. Henry ↓ · K. Ajer ↑

Substitution 1

Pedro Porro

Yellow Card

▮

47'

60'

▮

Kevin Schade

Yellow Card

61'

⇄

M. Jensen ↓ · M. Damsgaard ↑

Substitution 2

J. Palhinha ↓ · R. Bentancur ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

72'

▮

Yehor Yarmolyuk

Yellow Card

W. Odobert ↓ · R. Kolo Muani ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

76'

⇄

A. Hickey ↓ · M. Kayode ↑

Substitution 3

76'

⇄

V. Janelt ↓ · Y. Yarmolyuk ↑

Substitution 4

Archie Gray

Yellow Card

▮

77'

P. M. Sarr ↓ · M. Kudus ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

80'

K. Danso ↓ · C. Romero ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

88'

⇄

K. Lewis-Potter ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Tottenham beat Brentford 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.15 to 0.29. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 4, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Richarlison (25'), X. Simons (43').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.28 units (Brier 0.135).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.40	—	50%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
BTTS No	2.33	—	47%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.08	—	52%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.87	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.66	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.72	—	50%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.22	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	76%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.43	—	73%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.20	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.80	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.65	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	73%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.28u	−19% ROI

Tottenham vs Brentford 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled