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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Stade Brestois 29 — Angers

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers 5:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 18:45
5:1
Full-time
Angers
Angers
W L D W L Away · last 5
Stade Francis-Le-Blé · Brest Referee Eric Wattellier
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.03 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.08 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 1.91 ✓
Total goals
6
5 · 1
xG (open play)
3.90 – 1.45
Δ +2.45
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.03 — +7.2% better than the market.

Stade Brestois 29 hosts Angers in a Ligue 1 clash where home momentum is limited by recent struggles, while Angers shows better form and points per game. Brest's defensive solidity faces a stern test against Angers' sharper attack, though the home side's slight edge in overall quality and home conditions could keep things tight. Expect a cautious pace with a compact block from Brest and probing from Angers.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away offensive pressure
  • Recent form favors Angers but Brest's home edge matters
  • Moderate tempo suggests fewer goals, tight contest likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.03 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · ANG 4-2-3-1
BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ANG 1 Selvik 70 Lala ⚽ 29 Tousart ⚽ 4 Lloris 2 Locko 13 Chotard 8 Magnetti 17 Baldé ⚽ 23 Doumbia 9 Mboup ⚽ 19 Ajorque ⚽ 1 Lopes 20 Louër 4 Camara 21 Lefort 17 Kalulu 93 Belkebla 8 van den Boomen 18 Allevinah 14 Belkhdim 10 Sbaï 9 Peter ⚽
Subs used · BRE
61' Nonge ↑ · Baldé ↓
79' Edjouma ↑ · Doumbia ↓
79' Diambou ↑ · Chotard ↓
85' Kanté ↑ · Mboup ↓
86' N´Guessan ↑ · Ajorque ↓
Subs used · ANG
34' Biumla ↑ · Camara ↓
45' Rao-Lisoa ↑ · Louer ↓
62' Gernigon ↑ · Belkdim ↓
62' Ouazzani ↑ · Peter ↓
85' Mouton ↑ · Belkebla ↓

Statistics

BRE 5 – 1 ANG
54%
Possession (%)
46%
3.90
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
19
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
5
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

19 · 5 – 1
Ludovic Ajorque
Assist · Hugo Magnetti · 1–0
⚽
9'
Ludovic Ajorque
Yellow Card
▮
15'
Lucas Tousart
Assist · Joris Chotard · 2–0
⚽
17'
Kenny Lala (P)
Penalty · 3–0
⚽
30'
34'
⇄
Emmanuel Biumla ↓ · Ousmane Camara ↑
Substitution 1
Mama Baldé
Assist · Pathé Mboup · 4–0
⚽
45'
45'
⇄
Lillian Rao-Lisoa ↓ · Marius Louer ↑
Substitution 2
Half-time · 4 – 0
47'
⚽
Prosper Peter
Assist · Joseph Kalulu · 4–1
Pathé Mboup
Assist · Ludovic Ajorque · 5–1
⚽
54'
59'
▮
Jordan Lefort
Red Card
Joseph Nonge ↓ · Mama Baldé ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
62'
⇄
Maël Gernigon ↓ · Yassine Belkdim ↑
Substitution 3
62'
⇄
Amine El Ouazzani ↓ · Prosper Peter ↑
Substitution 4
Noah Edjouma ↓ · Kamory Doumbia ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
79'
Mamady Diambou ↓ · Joris Chotard ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
79'
85'
⇄
Louis Mouton ↓ · Haris Belkebla ↑
Substitution 5
Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté ↓ · Pathé Mboup ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
Djylian N´Guessan ↓ · Ludovic Ajorque ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
87'
▮
Branco Van den Boomen
Yellow Card
Full-time · 5 – 1

Match recap

Stade Brestois 29 beat Angers 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.90 to 1.45. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: Ludovic Ajorque (9'), Lucas Tousart (17'), Kenny Lala (30'), Mama Baldé (45'), Prosper Peter (47'), Pathé Mboup (54'). Jordan Lefort was sent off in the 59' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.64 units (Brier 0.191).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.03 2.15 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.08 2.26 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.91 1.91 51% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.90 1.87 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 1.60 51% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.85 1.73 47% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.82 4.33 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 1.25 76% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.94 2.62 27% Cashed +1.94 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.44 1.49 51% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.93 2.71 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.75 12.99 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 1.44 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.90 3.94 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 91% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 1.20 72% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 3.50 3.73 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.64u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
BRE – ANG @ 2.03
+7.2%
Edge
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