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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lorient — Paris FC

Lorient vs Paris FC 1:0: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 L W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
Paris FC
Paris FC
W W D W L Away · last 5
Stade du Moustoir · Lorient Referee Jerome Brisard
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 2.03 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 54% · book 2.10 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.18 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.60 – 0.99
Δ −0.39
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.10 — +14.0% better than the market.

Lorient vs Paris FC Preview

Paris FC holds a clear quality edge over Lorient, reflected in their stronger form and defensive solidity. Lorient’s home advantage is limited by their defensive struggles, while Paris FC’s attack faces a less resilient backline. Recent trends suggest a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides balance risk and control. Expect Paris FC to press their advantage with a compact block and efficient transitions.

  • Paris FC’s defensive strength challenges Lorient’s offense
  • Lorient’s home edge is modest against a superior opponent
  • Match tempo hints at a controlled, low-scoring affair

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.10 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · PAR 4-2-3-1
LOR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · PAR 38 Mvogo 20 Sylla 3 Talbi 32 Adjei 2 Georgen 8 Cadiou 95 Touré 43 Kouassi 10 Jensen 17 Makengo 42 Kone 1 Trapp 17 Camara 31 Chergui 42 Coppola 14 Traoré 20 Lopez 33 Lees-Melou 10 Kebbal 7 Pagis 15 Koleosho 9 Sinayoko
Subs used · LOR
66' Balde ↑ · Kone ↓
66' Bernardeau ↑ · Jensen ↓
78' Avom ↑ · Georgen ↓
87' Obaretin ↑ · Touré ↓
Subs used · PAR
65' Matondo ↑ · Camara ↓
65' Zabi ↑ · Kebbal ↓
66' Otavio ↑ · Chergui ↓
78' Sissoko ↑ · Melou ↓
86' Krasso ↑ · Sinayoko ↓

Statistics

LOR 1 – 0 PAR
40%
Possession (%)
60%
0.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.99
8
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
5
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
52'
▮
Lassine Sinayoko
Yellow Card
58'
▮
Samir Chergui
Yellow Card
58'
▮
Hamari Traore
Yellow Card
65'
⇄
Rudy Matondo ↓ · Adama Camara ↑
Substitution 1
65'
⇄
Patrick Zabi ↓ · Ilan Kebbal ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
Otavio ↓ · Samir Chergui ↑
Substitution 3
Ibrahima Balde ↓ · Mamadou Kone ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
Gabin Bernardeau ↓ · Isak Jensen ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
Gabin Bernardeau
Assist · Jean-Victor Makengo · 1–0
⚽
68'
Montassar Talbi
Yellow Card
▮
70'
74'
▮
Patrick Zabi
Yellow Card
78'
⇄
Omar Sissoko ↓ · Pierre Lees Melou ↑
Substitution 4
Arthur Avom ↓ · Alec Georgen ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
86'
⇄
Jean-Philippe Krasso ↓ · Lassine Sinayoko ↑
Substitution 5
Nosa Edward Obaretin ↓ · Isaak Touré ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
90+2'
▮
Maxime López
Yellow Card
A. Dujeux
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Lorient beat Paris FC 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 3 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Gabin Bernardeau (68').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.10 units (Brier 0.278).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.03 1.91 58% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Away Win 2.10 2.10 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.18 2.00 52% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.54 1.53 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.65 1.75 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.85 1.91 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.56 2.61 20% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.29 1.29 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.87 3.40 32% Cashed +2.87 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.50 10.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.30 77% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.70 1.70 46% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Home Win 3.37 3.58 21% Cashed +2.37 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.04 3.40 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.05 89% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.40 3.44 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.24 1.30 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +1.10u +6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
LOR – PAR @ 2.10
+14.0%
Edge
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