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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Le Mans

Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans 3:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 18:45
3:1
Full-time
Le Mans
Le Mans
L D D W L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Mathieu Vernice
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 51% · book 2.33 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.13 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.66 ✗
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
4.33 – 1.49
Δ +2.84
Possession
72% – 28%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

Paris Saint Germain hosts Le Mans in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors show a slight quality edge overall. However, PSG’s home advantage and defensive solidity could balance the scales. The home side’s pressing and compact block may contain Le Mans’ sharper attack, while PSG’s recent form suggests resilience despite mixed results.

  • Home edge in defense vs away attack
  • Le Mans’ better adjusted strength but away challenge
  • Moderate pace expected with goal opportunities on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · LE- 3-1-4-2
PSG · 4-3-3 3-1-4-2 · LE- 39 Safonov 2 Hakimi 6 Zabarnyi 21 Hernández 12 Digne 87 Neves 4 Beraldo ⚽ 27 Fernández 11 Akliouche ⚽ 9 Torres 22 Godts 98 Kocik 15 Boissé 17 Yohou 5 Voyer 8 Lauray 26 Bamba 29 Bretelle 10 Vercruysse 22 Calodat 13 Diallo 14 Mafouta ⚽
Subs used · PSG
58' Zaire-Emery ↑ · Neves ↓
58' Ruiz ↑ · Fernández ↓
59' Vitinha ↑ · Beraldo ↓
59' Kvaratskhelia ↑ · Godts ↓
72' Doue ↑ · Hakimi ↓
Subs used · LE-
45' Gueye ↑ · Diallo ↓
66' Brahimi ↑ · Vercruysse ↓
72' Harhouz ↑ · Mafouta ↓
72' Rabillard ↑ · Lauray ↓
77' Larouci ↑ · Calodat ↓

Statistics

PSG 3 – 1 LE-
72%
Possession (%)
28%
4.33
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.49
22
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
7
13
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
5
3
Fouls
17
0
Yellow Cards
5
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

20 · 3 – 1
Lucas Beraldo (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
19'
45'
⇄
Dame Gueye ↓ · Habib Diallo ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 1 – 0
47'
▮
Dame Gueye
Yellow Card
54'
⚽
Louis Mafouta
Assist · Lucas Calodat · 1–1
Warren Zaire-Emery ↓ · João Neves ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
Fabián Ruiz ↓ · Dro Fernández ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
Vitinha ↓ · Lucas Beraldo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
59'
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ↓ · Mika Godts ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
59'
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2–1
⚽
61'
65'
▮
Louis Mafouta
Yellow Card
66'
⇄
Bilal Brahimi ↓ · Jean Vercruysse ↑
Substitution 2
Maghnes Akliouche
Assist · Warren Zaire-Emery · 3–1
⚽
68'
Désiré Doue ↓ · Achraf Hakimi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
72'
72'
⇄
William Harhouz ↓ · Louis Mafouta ↑
Substitution 3
72'
⇄
Antoine Rabillard ↓ · Alexandre Lauray ↑
Substitution 4
77'
⇄
Yasser Larouci ↓ · Lucas Calodat ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
▮
Rayan Bamba
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
Bilal Brahimi
Yellow Card
Désiré Doue (P)
Penalty · 4–1
⚽
90+3'
90+3'
▮
Noa Boissé
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Paris Saint Germain beat Le Mans 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.33 to 1.49. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 11, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Lucas Beraldo (19'), Louis Mafouta (54'), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (61'), Maghnes Akliouche (68').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.86 units (Brier 0.105).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.33 2.20 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.13 1.93 47% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
BTTS No 1.66 1.83 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.62 1.75 49% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Away Win 19.00 18.52 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 15.00 10.99 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 7.50 6.54 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 9.45 8.13 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 4.22 3.72 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 11.00 10.10 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.02 1.02 87% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Home Win 1.10 1.12 76% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.02 1.01 76% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.04 1.07 84% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.21 1.25 68% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −5.86u −39% ROI