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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris FC — Lyon

Predictions by Market: Paris FC vs Lyon

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris FC
Paris FC
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 18:45
0:0
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stade Jean Bouin · Isilemulino Referee Jerome Brisard

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAR
40%
Best 2.63
Draw
26%
Best 3.82
Away Win · LYO
34%
Best 2.67
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.13
book 2.30 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (53%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.2%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 83%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.8%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 13.75
Show model details
Implied probability 7.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.8%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
PAR – LYO @ 2.30
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →