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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Stade Brestois 29 — Paris Saint Germain

Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain 0:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
Home · last 5 D W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 18:45
0:1
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
D L W W W Away · last 5
Stade Francis-Le-Blé · Brest Referee Willy Delajod
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 64% · book 1.70 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 54% · book 1.91 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 48% · book 1.77 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Home 0 at 5.60 — +12.1% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, despite Stade Brestois showing resilience at home. PSG's attacking prowess should challenge Brest's defense, while Brest's home momentum and compact block could limit the visitors' dominance. Expect a lively encounter with goals from both sides given the attacking potential and recent trends.

  • PSG's superior quality and form advantage
  • Brest's home resilience and defensive organization
  • Likely open game with goal-scoring chances for both

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Home 0
AH Home 0 @ 5.60 ✗ Lost
AI 20% Implied 18% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · PSG 4-3-3
Subs used · BRE
66' Nonge ↑ · Versini ↓
78' Tousart ↑ · Chotard ↓
78' N´Guessan ↑ · Doumbia ↓
88' Bourgault ↑ · Locko ↓
Subs used · PSG
39' Ruiz ↑ · Hakimi ↓
66' Akliouche ↑ · Dembélé ↓
66' Doue ↑ · Kvaratskhelia ↓
77' Fernández ↑ · Zaire-Emery ↓
77' Godts ↑ · Torres ↓

Statistics

BRE 0 – 1 PSG
41%
Possession (%)
59%
16
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
7
8
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

13 · 0 – 1
5'
⚽
Ferrán Torres
Assist · Ousmane Dembélé · 0–1
Kamory Doumbia
Yellow Card
▮
30'
39'
⇄
Fabián Ruiz ↓ · Achraf Hakimi ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 1
66'
⇄
Maghnes Akliouche ↓ · Ousmane Dembélé ↑
Substitution 2
66'
⇄
Désiré Doue ↓ · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ↑
Substitution 3
Joseph Nonge ↓ · Giovani Versini ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
77'
⇄
Dro Fernández ↓ · Warren Zaire-Emery ↑
Substitution 4
77'
⇄
Mika Godts ↓ · Ferrán Torres ↑
Substitution 5
Lucas Tousart ↓ · Joris Chotard ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
Djylian N´Guessan ↓ · Kamory Doumbia ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
84'
▮
Vitinha
Yellow Card
87'
▮
Dro Fernández
Yellow Card
Justin Bourgault ↓ · Bradley Locko ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Paris Saint Germain won 1–0 away at Stade Brestois 29. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ferrán Torres (5').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +0.63 units (Brier 0.295).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.70 1.75 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.91 1.91 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.77 1.91 48% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.74 3.10 29% Cashed +1.74 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 2.00 36% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Home Win 7.50 10.99 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 3.95 3.95 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 5.60 7.52 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.42 1.36 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.09 1.05 80% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Away Win 1.24 1.22 67% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.09 1.05 61% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 5.25 6.67 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.10 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.65 6.49 13% Cashed +4.65 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +0.63u +4% ROI
Value pick of the night · AH Home 0
BRE – PSG @ 5.60
+12.1%
Edge
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