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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lens — Lorient

Lens vs Lorient 0:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 L L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 15:15
0:1
Full-time
Lorient
Lorient
L W D L W Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee E. Wattellier
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 50% · book 2.57 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.67 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 38% · book 2.66 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 1.5 at 1.19 — +4.2% better than the market.

Lens carry clear home momentum with recent wins and a strong points-per-game edge over Lorient. Their attacking play looks more potent, suggesting they can break down Lorient’s defense effectively. The pace hints at a lively encounter, supported by historical high-scoring clashes at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

  • Home side’s sharper form and confidence
  • Attacking threat against a less solid away defense
  • Potential for multiple goals given recent trends and odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 1.5
Over 1.5 @ 1.19 ✗ Lost
AI 88% Implied 84% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · LOR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · LEN
24' Sagnan ↑ · Udol ↓
60' Bulatović ↑ · Titraoui ↓
61' Cuisance ↑ · Haidara ↓
70' Sotoca ↑ · Aguilar ↓
70' Édouard ↑ · Hazard ↓
Subs used · LOR
67' Bris ↑ · Katseris ↓
67' Balde ↑ · Kone ↓
67' Avom ↑ · Mbamba ↓
75' Jensen ↑ · Bernardeau ↓

Statistics

LEN 0 – 1 LOR
57%
Possession (%)
43%
18
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
5
8
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
0
18
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

14 · 0 – 1
14'
▮
Nathaniel Adjei
Yellow Card
Souleymane Sagnan ↓ · Matthieu Udol ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
24'
Yassine Titraoui
Yellow Card
▮
26'
Half-time · 0 – 0
54'
⚽
Mamadou Kone
Assist · Panos Katseris · 0–1
Andrija Bulatović ↓ · Yassine Titraoui ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
Michaël Cuisance ↓ · Amadou Haidara ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
61'
67'
⇄
Théo Le Bris ↓ · Panos Katseris ↑
Substitution 1
67'
⇄
Ibrahima Balde ↓ · Mamadou Kone ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
Arthur Avom ↓ · Noah Mbamba ↑
Substitution 3
Florian Sotoca ↓ · Ruben Aguilar ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
Odsonne Édouard ↓ · Thorgan Hazard ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
70'
75'
⇄
Isak Jensen ↓ · Gabin Bernardeau ↑
Substitution 4
Michał Skóraś
Yellow Card
▮
77'
Souleymane Sagnan
Yellow Card
▮
85'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Lorient won 1–0 away at Lens. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Mamadou Kone (54').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +7.80 units (Brier 0.406).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.57 2.62 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.67 1.62 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.66 2.44 38% Cashed +1.66 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 1.72 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.96 2.04 45% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.25 2.30 31% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Home Win 1.45 1.55 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.19 1.20 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.12 1.14 84% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.48 1.47 50% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.16 1.19 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.25 5.92 16% Cashed +5.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.45 4.31 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.80 4.27 16% Cashed +3.80 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 14.93 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.37 4.50 12% Cashed +3.37 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +7.80u +46% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 1.5
LEN – LOR @ 1.19
+4.2%
Edge
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