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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Le Havre — Stade Brestois 29

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 1:2: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Le Havre
Le Havre
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
D W L L W Away · last 5
Referee M. Bollengier
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.92 ✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 37% · book 2.70 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.10 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.92 — +0.7% better than the market.

Le Havre faces Stade Brestois 29 in a Ligue 1 clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown more resilience with draws compared to Le Havre's mixed results. The match hints at a cautious tempo given the odds favoring fewer goals, suggesting a compact defensive setup from both sides. Stade Brestois may leverage their steadier form and pressing edge, while Le Havre will look to capitalize on home momentum and set-piece opportunities.

  • Visitors' consistent defensive shape could limit clear chances
  • Home side's set-piece threat may unlock tight defenses
  • Likely a tactical battle with moderate pace and few goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.92 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

HAV 3-4-2-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · HAV
45' Nakamura ↑ · Ndiaye ↓
62' Fofana ↑ · Maja ↓
62' Koffi ↑ · Pembele ↓
79' Ouziad ↑ · Jelert ↓
90+4' Gallon ↑ · Mpasi-Nzau ↓
Subs used · BRE
22' Zogbe ↑ · Lala ↓
67' Edjouma ↑ · Baldé ↓
75' Tousart ↑ · Doumbia ↓
75' Versini ↑ · Mboup ↓
75' Nonge ↑ · Magnetti ↓

Statistics

HAV 1 – 2 BRE
56%
Possession (%)
44%
18
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
9
10
Shots off Target
8
11
Shots Inside Box
12
5
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 1 – 2
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
Yellow Card
▮
10'
12'
⚽
Kamory Doumbia (P)
Penalty · 0–1
22'
⇄
Luck Zogbe ↓ · Kenny Lala ↑
Substitution 1
Didier Digard
Yellow Card
▮
38'
39'
▮
Kamory Doumbia
Yellow Card
Sota Nakamura ↓ · Rassoul Ndiaye ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Junior Mwanga
Red Card
▮
45+2'
Half-time · 0 – 1
51'
⚽
Kamory Doumbia
Assist · Mama Baldé · 0–2
Rayan Fofana ↓ · Josh Maja ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
Enzo Koffi ↓ · Timothée Pembele ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
67'
⇄
Noah Edjouma ↓ · Mama Baldé ↑
Substitution 2
75'
⇄
Lucas Tousart ↓ · Kamory Doumbia ↑
Substitution 3
75'
⇄
Giovani Versini ↓ · Pathé Mboup ↑
Substitution 4
75'
⇄
Joseph Nonge ↓ · Hugo Magnetti ↑
Substitution 5
Rayan Fofana (P)
Penalty · 1–2
⚽
79'
Djibril Ouziad ↓ · Elias Jelert ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
Gauthier Gallon ↓ · Lionel Mpasi-Nzau ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Stade Brestois 29 won 2–1 away at Le Havre. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

On the scoresheet: Kamory Doumbia (12'), Kamory Doumbia (51'), Rayan Fofana (79'). Junior Mwanga was sent off in the 45+2' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.29 units (Brier 0.180).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.92 2.00 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.70 2.65 37% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.10 2.06 47% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.73 1.80 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.53 2.70 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 1.75 47% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.01 1.92 37% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.89 1.98 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.47 1.44 64% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 1.44 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.12 3.25 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.70 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 1.30 72% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.06 91% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.26 1.27 74% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Draw 3.25 3.30 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 9.01 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.29u −19% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
HAV – BRE @ 1.92
+0.7%
Edge
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