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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Monaco

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco 1:2: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Fri 04 Sep · 19:05
1:2
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
W W D W D Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee J. Brisard
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 47% · book 2.08 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 50% · book 2.00 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 30% · book 3.20 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Away 0 at 5.43 — +13.6% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain hosts Monaco at Parc des Princes in a Ligue 1 clash where home momentum seems limited with recent draws, while Monaco arrives on a winning streak. The home side's compact block may face challenges against Monaco's pressing edge and efficient attack. Expect a moderately paced game with chances on both ends, given the history of high-scoring encounters.

  • Monaco's recent form suggests confidence on the road
  • PSG's defense needs to contain Monaco's forward threat
  • Moderate tempo likely with goal opportunities for both

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · AH Away 0
AH Away 0 @ 5.43 ✓ Cashed
AI 21% Implied 18% +4.43u
+443%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · MON 4-2-3-1
PSG · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · MON 39 Safonov 2 Hakimi 5 Marquinhos ⚽ 51 Pacho 33 Zaïre-Emery 87 Neves 17 Vitinha 8 Ruiz 14 Doué 11 Akliouche 7 Kvaratskhelia 1 Hrádecký 2 Vanderson 72 Sané 15 Dier 20 Nazinho ⚽ 8 Camara 6 Zakaria 28 Coulibaly 10 Golovin 17 Idumbo-Muzambo ⚽ 29 Brunner
Subs used · PSG
63' Torres ↑ · Doue ↓
64' Hernández ↑ · Zaire-Emery ↓
68' Godts ↑ · Kvaratskhelia ↓
69' Dembélé ↑ · Akliouche ↓
76' Fernández ↑ · Ruiz ↓
Subs used · MON
52' Teze ↑ · Vanderson ↓
73' Soubeir ↑ · Coulibaly ↓
73' Abline ↑ · Brunner ↓
87' Benzahra ↑ · Golovin ↓
87' Mawissa ↑ · Idumbo ↓

Statistics

PSG 1 – 2 MON
68%
Possession (%)
32%
23
Total Shots
4
10
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
2
6
Corner Kicks
0
5
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
9

Match events

15 · 1 – 2
Marcos Aoás Corrêa
Assist · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · 1–0
⚽
31'
Half-time · 1 – 0
52'
⇄
Jordan Teze ↓ · Vanderson ↑
Substitution 1
58'
⚽
Flavio Nazinho
Assist · Jordan Teze · 1–1
Ferrán Torres ↓ · Désiré Doue ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
Lucas Hernández ↓ · Warren Zaire-Emery ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
Lucas Hernández
Yellow Card
▮
68'
68'
▮
Jordan Teze
Yellow Card
Mika Godts ↓ · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
Ousmane Dembélé ↓ · Maghnes Akliouche ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
69'
72'
⚽
Stanis Idumbo
Assist · Aleksandr Golovin · 1–2
73'
⇄
Anis Soubeir ↓ · Mamadou Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
Matthis Abline ↓ · Paris Brunner ↑
Substitution 3
Dro Fernández ↓ · Fabián Ruiz ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
76'
87'
⇄
Safouane Benzahra ↓ · Aleksandr Golovin ↑
Substitution 4
87'
⇄
Christian Mawissa ↓ · Stanis Idumbo ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Monaco won 2–1 away at Paris Saint Germain. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 4, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves.

On the scoresheet: Marcos Aoás Corrêa (31'), Flavio Nazinho (58'), Stanis Idumbo (72').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +6.58 units (Brier 0.262).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.08 1.90 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.00 2.00 50% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.20 3.19 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.27 2.34 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.92 3.23 41% Cashed +1.92 Cashed
Away Win 7.16 7.75 21% Cashed +6.16 Cashed
Home Win 1.40 1.32 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.43 5.99 21% Cashed +4.43 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.58 1.55 63% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.40 1.33 67% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.11 1.08 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.13 1.11 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.78 5.62 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.09 1.08 86% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.13 6.99 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +6.58u +44% ROI
Value pick of the night · AH Away 0
PSG – MON @ 5.43
+13.6%
Edge
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