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GKS Katowice vs Piast Gliwice 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
Home · last 5 D W D D D
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 19:15
1:3
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
W D D L L Away · last 5
Referee Paweł Raczkowski, Poland
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.30 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.10 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.90 ✗
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
0.83 – 1.51
Δ −0.68
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.10 — +9.0% better than the market.

GKS Katowice enter this clash with a clear quality and home edge, showing stronger offensive potential against Piast Gliwice's leaky defense. Their recent form suggests home momentum, while Piast struggles to find consistency on the road. Expect a tactical battle where Katowice's pressing and set-piece threat could exploit Gliwice's defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Home side's offensive edge vs away defense
  • Better recent form and home momentum
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.10 ✗ Lost
AI 52% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GKS 1 – 3 PIA
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.83
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.51
9
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
4
5
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
0
10
Fouls
16
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Piast Gliwice won 3–1 away at GKS Katowice. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.51 to 0.83. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 9, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.34 units (Brier 0.298).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.30 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.10 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.90 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.96 — 46% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.77 — 48% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.65 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 49% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.27 — 23% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.39 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.61 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.20 — 23% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.40 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 — 71% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.55 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 — 25% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.34u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
GKS – PIA @ 2.10
+9.0%
Edge
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