P
Prognosist
P
Home France Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 — Toulouse

Preview Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Toulouse
Toulouse
L Away · last 5
Referee J. Brisard
Home Win · BRE
36%
Best 2.78
Draw
27%
Best 3.50
Away Win · TOU
37%
Best 2.70

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 65% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 60%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Stade Brestois 29 shows a slight home momentum with a recent draw, while Toulouse struggles with form, having lost their last five. The match hints at a balanced contest with a mild edge to Brest’s home resilience. Expect a moderately open game given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting both sides may find opportunities in attack.

  • Home side’s compact block could challenge Toulouse’s offense.
  • Toulouse’s recent form may limit their pressing effectiveness.
  • Potential for set-piece moments to influence the scoreline.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 37% Toulouse win
Over/Under 2.5 60% Over 2.5
BTTS 65% Yes
Double Chance 64% X2
  • 1X2 Toulouse win 37%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
  • BTTS Yes 65%
  • Double Chance X2 64%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Stade Brestois 29
W/D/L 0-2-3
Goals (for / against) 4 / 10
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.37 / 1.26
Toulouse
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.41 / 1.35

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
0
2
Goals Conceded
2
1.65
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
5
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
6
49
Possession (%)
47
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
78
DEF · home
100
67
OFF · away
78
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Stade Brestois 29 wins when scoring first
0%
Toulouse wins when scoring first
75%
Stade Brestois 29 BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Toulouse BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Toulouse Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Stade Brestois 29 comeback rate · last 10
0%
Toulouse comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Stade Brestois 29 · last 10 at home

0–15 24%
16–30 18%
31–45 18%
46–60 18%
61–75 12%
76–90 12%

Toulouse · last 10 away

0–15 29%
16–30 18%
31–45 29%
46–60 0%
61–75 6%
76–90 18%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

K. Doumbia
BRE · Midfielder
1 G
R. Del Castillo
BRE · Midfielder
1 G