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Home France Ligue 1 Lyon — Le Havre

Preview Lyon vs Le Havre August 29, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Le Havre
Le Havre
L Away · last 5
Referee F. Letexier
Home Win · LYO
57%
Best 1.54
Draw
22%
Best 4.62
Away Win · HAV
21%
Best 7.00

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams not to score — 60% probability.

Also rated highly: Lyon to win 57%, Under 2.5 goals 55%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Lyon arrives with strong home momentum after a recent win, while Le Havre struggles on the road, showing signs of defensive fragility. The home side's pressing edge and better form suggest they can control the pace and limit chances conceded. Expect a compact Lyon block to frustrate Le Havre’s attack, with a moderate goal environment hinted by odds favoring under 2.5 goals.

  • Lyon’s home confidence and recent win
  • Le Havre’s away struggles and defensive lapses
  • Likely tactical control by Lyon with a cautious tempo

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 57% Lyon win
Over/Under 2.5 55% Under 2.5
BTTS 60% No
Double Chance 79% 1X
  • 1X2 Lyon win 57%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55%
  • BTTS No 60%
  • Double Chance 1X 79%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 6.04 ↑ 6.92 (+15%)
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lyon
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 8 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.16 / 2.63
Le Havre
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.11 / 1.37

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
0.16
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
1
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
7
53
Possession (%)
50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
11
DEF · home
44
0
OFF · away
22
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Lyon wins when scoring first
100%
Le Havre wins when scoring first
0%
Lyon BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Le Havre BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Lyon Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Le Havre Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Lyon comeback rate · last 10
0%
Le Havre comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Lyon · last 10 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 6%
31–45 41%
46–60 24%
61–75 24%
76–90 6%

Le Havre · last 10 away

0–15 14%
16–30 0%
31–45 29%
46–60 0%
61–75 43%
76–90 14%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

N. Nartey
LYO · Midfielder
1 G
M. Fofana
LYO · Attacker
1 G