Match Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 August 22, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

With limited recent form and strength data, this Ligue 1 opener between Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29 looks finely poised. The odds suggest a balanced contest with a slight lean towards goals, hinting at a moderately open game. Both sides may seek to assert themselves early, relying on set-piece opportunities and compact defensive organization to gain an edge.

Home advantage could provide Le Mans some momentum despite unknown form.
Expect tactical caution with potential pressing battles in midfield.
Moderate goal expectations align with odds favoring over 2.5 goals slightly.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LE- 3-4-3 · BRE 4-2-3-1

LE- · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · BRE

25 Gueye ⚽

Subs used · LE-

63'

Colas ↑ ·

Mafouta ↓

63'

Bretelle ↑ ·

Lauray ↓

72'

Brahimi ↑ ·

Bourabaa ↓

72'

Harhouz ↑ ·

Gueye ↓

81'

Calodat ↑ ·

Larouci ↓

Subs used · BRE

63'

Diambou ↑ ·

Nonge ↓

71'

Balde ↑ ·

Del Castillo ↓

71'

Camblan ↑ ·

Mboup ↓

89'

C. Laine M. ↑ ·

Doumbia ↓

📊 Statistics

LE- 2 – 2 BRE

51%

Possession (%)

49%

0.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.65

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 2 – 2

31'

⚽

R. Del Castillo

Assist · K. Doumbia · 0–1

43'

▮

L. Ajorque

Yellow Card

D. Gueye

Assist · L. Mafouta · 1–1

⚽

45+2'

Half-time · 1 – 1

A. Lauray

Yellow Card

▮

51'

L. Mafouta

Assist · A. Bourabaa · 2–1

⚽

55'

62'

⚽

K. Doumbia

2–2

E. Colas ↓ · L. Mafouta ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

L. Bretelle ↓ · A. Lauray ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

⇄

M. Diambou ↓ · J. Nonge ↑

Substitution 1

71'

⇄

M. Balde ↓ · R. Del Castillo ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

A. Camblan ↓ · P. Mboup ↑

Substitution 3

B. Brahimi ↓ · A. Bourabaa ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

W. Harhouz ↓ · D. Gueye ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

L. Calodat ↓ · Y. Larouci ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

81'

89'

⇄

L. C. Laine M. ↓ · K. Doumbia ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29 drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.65 to 0.69. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 0.

On the scoresheet: R. Del Castillo (31'), D. Gueye (45+2'), L. Mafouta (55'), K. Doumbia (62').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.99 units (Brier 0.190).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.45	2.53	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.80	1.91	53%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.00	1.91	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.67	2.83	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.61	1.70	58%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
BTTS No	2.21	2.07	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.05	2.05	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.85	1.85	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	1.52	61%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.92	3.25	32%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.44	1.42	65%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	1.04	91%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	10.99	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	1.33	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	1.29	76%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.92	3.50	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.45	3.30	26%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.99u	−12% ROI

Match Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled