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Le Havre vs Monaco 0:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Le Havre
Le Havre
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 15:15
0:1
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
W W D W D Away · last 5
Stade Océane · Le Havre Referee Jeremie Pignard, France
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 55% · book 1.80 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.62 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.10 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.60 – 1.39
Δ −0.79
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.58 — +8.6% better than the market.

With limited recent form and team data, this Ligue 1 opener between Le Havre and Monaco hints at a moderately open game. The odds suggest a slight edge to Monaco, but home momentum and the typical Ligue 1 tactical discipline could keep things tight early on. Expect a balanced pace with chances for both sides, especially given the market leaning towards over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

  • Monaco likely holds a quality advantage despite unknown form.
  • Le Havre’s home setup may disrupt away rhythm.
  • Market odds imply a lively match with goal opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.58 ✗ Lost
AI 30% Implied 28% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

HAV 4-2-3-1 · MON 4-2-3-1
Subs used · HAV
40' K. Vinette ↑ · Zouaoui ↓
70' Nakamura ↑ · Pembele ↓
70' Jelert ↑ · Doucoure ↓
70' Maja ↑ · Samatta ↓
88' Mizuta ↑ · Ebonog ↓
Subs used · MON
57' Soubeir ↑ · Coulibaly ↓
57' Biereth ↑ · Brunner ↓
80' Toure ↑ · Nazinho ↓
81' Konate ↑ · Idumbo ↓
89' Kehrer ↑ · Vanderson ↓

Statistics

HAV 0 – 1 MON
50%
Possession (%)
50%
0.60
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.39
14
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
12
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

16 · 0 – 1
14'
⚽
E. Dier
Assist · Nazinho · 0–1
A. Richardson
Yellow Card
▮
20'
F. Doucoure
Yellow Card
▮
35'
E. K. Vinette ↓ · Y. Zouaoui ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
40'
V. Sasso
Yellow Card
▮
44'
Half-time · 0 – 1
57'
⇄
A. Soubeir ↓ · M. Coulibaly ↑
Substitution 1
57'
⇄
M. Biereth ↓ · P. Brunner ↑
Substitution 2
64'
▮
A. Golovin
Yellow Card
66'
▮
Vanderson
Yellow Card
S. Nakamura ↓ · T. Pembele ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
E. Jelert ↓ · F. Doucoure ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
J. Maja ↓ · A. Samatta ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
70'
80'
⇄
I. Toure ↓ · Nazinho ↑
Substitution 3
81'
⇄
O. Konate ↓ · S. Idumbo ↑
Substitution 4
K. Mizuta ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
89'
⇄
T. Kehrer ↓ · Vanderson ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Monaco won 1–0 away at Le Havre. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.39 to 0.60. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Dier (14').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.47 units (Brier 0.246).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.80 1.84 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 1.73 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 — 45% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 2.75 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.40 2.19 39% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Away Win 1.95 1.93 45% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.76 2.87 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 — 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 1.64 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.58 3.80 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.48 1.45 45% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 12.99 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.16 1.20 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.85 3.77 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.88 4.33 19% Cashed +3.88 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.30 1.26 70% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.47u −3% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
HAV – MON @ 3.58
+8.6%
Edge
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