Match Le Havre vs Monaco August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.58 — +8.6% better than the market.

With limited recent form and team data, this Ligue 1 opener between Le Havre and Monaco hints at a moderately open game. The odds suggest a slight edge to Monaco, but home momentum and the typical Ligue 1 tactical discipline could keep things tight early on. Expect a balanced pace with chances for both sides, especially given the market leaning towards over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

Monaco likely holds a quality advantage despite unknown form.
Le Havre’s home setup may disrupt away rhythm.
Market odds imply a lively match with goal opportunities.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.58 ✗ Lost

AI 30% Implied 28% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAV 4-2-3-1 · MON 4-2-3-1

HAV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MON

25 Samatta

Subs used · HAV

40'

K. Vinette ↑ ·

Zouaoui ↓

70'

Nakamura ↑ ·

Pembele ↓

70'

Jelert ↑ ·

Doucoure ↓

70'

Maja ↑ ·

Samatta ↓

88'

Mizuta ↑ ·

Ebonog ↓

Subs used · MON

57'

Soubeir ↑ ·

Coulibaly ↓

57'

Biereth ↑ ·

Brunner ↓

80'

Toure ↑ ·

Nazinho ↓

81'

Konate ↑ ·

Idumbo ↓

89'

Kehrer ↑ ·

Vanderson ↓

📊 Statistics

HAV 0 – 1 MON

50%

Possession (%)

50%

0.60

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.39

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 1

14'

⚽

E. Dier

Assist · Nazinho · 0–1

A. Richardson

Yellow Card

▮

20'

F. Doucoure

Yellow Card

▮

35'

E. K. Vinette ↓ · Y. Zouaoui ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

40'

V. Sasso

Yellow Card

▮

44'

Half-time · 0 – 1

57'

⇄

A. Soubeir ↓ · M. Coulibaly ↑

Substitution 1

57'

⇄

M. Biereth ↓ · P. Brunner ↑

Substitution 2

64'

▮

A. Golovin

Yellow Card

66'

▮

Vanderson

Yellow Card

S. Nakamura ↓ · T. Pembele ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

E. Jelert ↓ · F. Doucoure ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

J. Maja ↓ · A. Samatta ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

80'

⇄

I. Toure ↓ · Nazinho ↑

Substitution 3

81'

⇄

O. Konate ↓ · S. Idumbo ↑

Substitution 4

K. Mizuta ↓ · S. Ebonog ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

89'

⇄

T. Kehrer ↓ · Vanderson ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Monaco won 1–0 away at Le Havre. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.39 to 0.60. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Dier (14').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.47 units (Brier 0.246).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.80	1.84	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.62	1.73	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	—	45%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	2.75	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.40	2.19	39%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
Away Win	1.95	1.93	45%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.76	2.87	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	66%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	1.64	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.58	3.80	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.48	1.45	45%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	12.99	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.16	1.20	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.85	3.77	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.88	4.33	19%	Cashed	+3.88	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.30	1.26	70%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.47u	−3% ROI