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Home Poland Ekstraklasa Pogon Szczecin — Jagiellonia

Match Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Home · last 5 D W L W D
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 16:30
1:2
Full-time
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
L W W D W Away · last 5
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera · Szczecin Referee Piotr Lasyk, Poland
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.55
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.33
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.62
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Jagiellonia enters this clash with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting they could control the tempo and exploit Pogon's defensive vulnerabilities. Pogon’s home momentum is tempered by inconsistent results and a modest attacking threat against a resilient away defense. Expect a tactical battle where Jagiellonia’s pressing and sharper offensive transitions may tip the balance.

  • Jagiellonia’s superior overall strength and form advantage
  • Pogon’s home edge is limited by defensive lapses
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

POG 12 JAG
40%
Possession (%)
60%
35
Total Shots
11
10
Shots on Target
5
12
Shots off Target
3
27
Shots Inside Box
7
10
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
9
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
9

Match recap

Jagiellonia won 2–1 away at Pogon Szczecin. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 35 shots to 11, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.44 units (Brier 0.142).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.55 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.33 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 57% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.55 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.11 43% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Home Win 2.46 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.83 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.95 43% Cashed +1.95 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.57 67% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.54 64% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 59% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.46 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.80 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 79% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 3.90 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.44u −20% ROI