Match Toulouse vs Lyon August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

With limited recent form and strength data, this Ligue 1 opener between Toulouse and Lyon hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals, indicating a potentially lively tempo. Toulouse's home advantage could provide a pressing edge, while Lyon may look to exploit set-piece opportunities and quick transitions.

Home momentum may favor Toulouse's compact block.
Lyon's counter-attacks could test defensive resilience.
Expect a moderately high-paced match with goal chances for both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

TOU 3-4-2-1 · LYO 4-2-3-1

TOU · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · LYO

94 Diallo

Subs used · TOU

71'

Azizi ↑ ·

Vignolo ↓

71'

Messali ↑ ·

Diallo ↓

71'

Russell-Rowe ↑ ·

Hidalgo ↓

80'

Oppong ↑ ·

Gboho ↓

86'

Saka ↑ ·

Schmidt ↓

Subs used · LYO

63'

Fofana ↑ ·

Duranville ↓

63'

Sulc ↑ ·

Himbert ↓

69'

Tolisso ↑ ·

de Carvalho ↓

69'

Morton ↑ ·

Nartey ↓

80'

Tessmann ↑ ·

Bidstrup ↓

📊 Statistics

TOU 0 – 2 LYO

47%

Possession (%)

53%

2.63

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.16

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 2

N. Schmidt

Yellow Card

▮

31'

45'

▮

N. Nartey

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

63'

⇄

M. Fofana ↓ · J. Duranville ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

P. Sulc ↓ · R. Himbert ↑

Substitution 2

68'

⚽

N. Nartey

Assist · P. Sulc · 0–1

69'

⇄

C. Tolisso ↓ · M. de Carvalho ↑

Substitution 3

69'

⇄

T. Morton ↓ · N. Nartey ↑

Substitution 4

I. Azizi ↓ · J. Vignolo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

R. Messali ↓ · I. Diallo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

J. Russell-Rowe ↓ · S. Hidalgo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

80'

⇄

T. Tessmann ↓ · M. Bidstrup ↑

Substitution 5

S. Oppong ↓ · Y. Gboho ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

85'

⚽

M. Fofana

Assist · C. Tolisso · 0–2

M. Saka ↓ · N. Schmidt ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

90+4'

▮

T. Tessmann

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Lyon won 2–0 away at Toulouse. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.63 to 0.16. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 6, 2 on target. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.16 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: N. Nartey (68'), M. Fofana (85').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.19 units (Brier 0.189).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.47	1.40	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.90	1.91	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	1.91	45%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.61	1.66	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.24	2.14	42%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.20	3.19	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.47	2.90	38%	Cashed	+1.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.10	1.74	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.81	2.15	38%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Home Win	2.67	2.40	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.41	1.33	66%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	1.04	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	10.99	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	1.25	77%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.14	3.75	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.54	1.54	60%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Draw	3.55	3.40	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.19u	−19% ROI