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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Rennes — Paris Saint Germain

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain 2:2: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 18:45
2:2
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
D L W W W Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Bastien Dechepy, France
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.67 ✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 48% · book 2.02 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.32 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.07 – 1.91
Δ −0.84
Possession
31% – 69%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.45 — +10.1% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain hosts Rennes at Parc des Princes in a Ligue 1 clash with limited recent form data. The home side is expected to leverage their familiar surroundings and attacking potential, while Rennes may look to stay compact and exploit counterattacks. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards goals, hinting at a lively tempo.

  • Home advantage likely to boost PSG's confidence
  • Rennes' defensive resilience could challenge PSG's offense
  • Market hints at a balanced contest with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 2.45 ✓ Cashed
AI 45% Implied 41% +1.45u
+145%
ROI on stake

Lineups

REN 4-3-3 · PSG 4-3-3
REN · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · PSG 30 Samba 95 Frankowski 48 Boudlal 4 Cresswell 18 Nagida 17 Szymański ⚽ 21 Rongier 28 Thomasson 11 Tamari 9 Lepaul ⚽ 90 Soumaré 39 Safonov 2 Hakimi 5 Marquinhos 51 Pacho 21 Hernández 33 Zaïre-Emery 17 Vitinha 87 Neves 14 Doué 10 Dembélé 7 Kvaratskhelia
Subs used · REN
72' Blas ↑ · Tamari ↓
78' Merlin ↑ · Nagida ↓
78' Do Marcolino ↑ · Szymanski ↓
88' Nordin ↑ · Soumare ↓
88' Reynolds ↑ · Frankowski ↓
Subs used · PSG
46' Torres ↑ · Dembele ↓
46' Godts ↑ · Kvaratskhelia ↓
60' Ruiz ↑ · Neves ↓
60' Akliouche ↑ · Zaire-Emery ↓
69' Beraldo ↑ · Vitinha ↓

Statistics

REN 2 – 2 PSG
31%
Possession (%)
69%
1.07
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.91
9
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
5
3
Shots Inside Box
9
0
Corner Kicks
10
0
Offsides
7
7
Fouls
6
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

19 · 2 – 2
S. Szymanski
Assist · A. Thomasson · 1–0
⚽
9'
E. Lepaul
Assist · P. Frankowski · 2–0
⚽
38'
A. Thomasson
Yellow Card
▮
42'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
⇄
F. Torres ↓ · O. Dembele ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
M. Godts ↓ · K. Kvaratskhelia ↑
Substitution 2
60'
⇄
F. Ruiz ↓ · J. Neves ↑
Substitution 3
60'
⇄
M. Akliouche ↓ · W. Zaire-Emery ↑
Substitution 4
M. Tamari
Yellow Card
▮
63'
64'
▮
Luis Enrique
Yellow Card
69'
⇄
L. Beraldo ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 5
71'
⚽
F. Torres
Assist · F. Ruiz · 2–1
L. Blas ↓ · M. Tamari ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
72'
76'
▮
Marquinhos
Yellow Card
Q. Merlin ↓ · M. Nagida ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
H. Do Marcolino ↓ · S. Szymanski ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
82'
⚽
F. Torres
Assist · F. Ruiz · 2–2
84'
▮
A. Hakimi
Yellow Card
A. Nordin ↓ · I. Soumare ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
B. Reynolds ↓ · P. Frankowski ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Rennes and Paris Saint Germain drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.91 to 1.07. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Szymanski (9'), E. Lepaul (38'), F. Torres (71'), F. Torres (82').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.26 units (Brier 0.196).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.67 1.67 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.02 2.20 48% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
BTTS No 2.32 2.28 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.15 1.15 76% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Away Win 1.55 1.50 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.56 1.59 60% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.56 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.50 5.49 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.00 4.67 20% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.21 1.18 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.47 1.47 64% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.09 1.13 85% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.28 5.49 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.45 2.50 45% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
AH Home 0 4.13 4.41 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −0.26u −2% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
REN – PSG @ 2.45
+10.1%
Edge
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