P
Prognosist
P
Home › Poland › Ekstraklasa › Lech Poznan — Motor Lublin

Predictions by Market: Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa Value pick inside
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 W W D W D
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 13:45
2:2
Full-time
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
L L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Sebastian Krasny, Poland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEC
66%
Best 1.57
Draw
21%
Best 4.40
Away Win · MOT
13%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.60
Fair odds
5.27
book 5.60 · +6.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +6.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (81%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 13.1%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13.1%
Odds 3.94
Show model details
Implied probability 25.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 33.7%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LEC – MOT @ 5.60
+6.1%
Edge
Forecast →