Match Jagiellonia vs Arka Gdynia October 18, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Jagiellonia and Arka Gdynia, Jagiellonia holds a slight edge with a 63.02% chance of winning, reflected in their odds of 1.7. The match is expected to be competitive, with a strong likelihood of fewer than 2.5 goals, given the 52.73% probability for this outcome. Both teams have shown varied form, and while Jagiellonia's home advantage could be decisive, Arka Gdynia's resilience might lead to a tightly contested affair.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

JAG 4-2-3-1 · ARK 3-4-3

JAG · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · ARK

17 Sylla

📊 Statistics

JAG 4 – 0 ARK

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Jagiellonia beat Arka Gdynia 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 7 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.66 units (Brier 0.163).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	4.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.08	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.70	—	63%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
BTTS No	2.01	—	52%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	86%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Draw	4.06	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.40	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	73%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.82	—	47%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	27%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.25	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.30	—	63%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.76	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.66u	−22% ROI