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Home › Italy › Serie A › Como — AS Roma

Como vs AS Roma 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W W W L D
Kick-off
Sun 11 Oct · 10:30
0:0
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W D D Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee Michael Fabbri
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 48% · book 2.67 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.67 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 45% · book 2.62 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.50 – 1.12
Δ +0.38
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.67 — +14.6% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.67 ✗ Lost
AI 69% Implied 60% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

COM 4-2-3-1 · ROM 3-4-1-2
Subs used · COM
66' Rodríguez ↑ · Caqueret ↓
78' Baturina ↑ · Cunha ↓
88' Milla ↑ · Perrone ↓
88' Addai ↑ · Diaoune ↓
88' Kempf ↑ · Couto ↓
Subs used · ROM
45' Soule ↑ · Pellegrini ↓
60' Balerdi ↑ · Hermoso ↓
82' Rensch ↑ · Molina ↓
89' Lulli ↑ · Dybala ↓
89' Pisilli ↑ · Koné ↓

Statistics

COM 0 – 0 ROM
65%
Possession (%)
35%
1.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
19
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
10
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 0 – 0
45'
⇄
Matias Soule ↓ · Lorenzo Pellegrini ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
▮
Marten de Roon
Yellow Card
Assane Diao Diaoune
Yellow Card
▮
45+2'
53'
▮
Donyell Malen
Red Card
57'
▮
Manu Koné
Yellow Card
60'
⇄
Leonardo Balerdi ↓ · Mario Hermoso ↑
Substitution 2
62'
▮
Matias Soule
Yellow Card
Jesús Rodríguez ↓ · Maxence Caqueret ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
Martin Baturina ↓ · Lucas Da Cunha ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
78'
82'
⇄
Devyne Rensch ↓ · Nahuel Molina ↑
Substitution 3
Luis Milla ↓ · Maximo Perrone ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
88'
Jayden Addai ↓ · Assane Diao Diaoune ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
Marc-Oliver Kempf ↓ · Yan Couto ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
89'
⇄
Emanuele Lulli ↓ · Paulo Dybala ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
Niccolò Pisilli ↓ · Manu Koné ↑
Substitution 5
Martin Baturina
Yellow Card
▮
90'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Como and AS Roma drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Donyell Malen was sent off in the 53' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +1.66 units (Brier 0.356).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.67 2.50 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.67 1.67 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.62 2.75 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.97 2.00 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.53 2.50 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.20 2.25 31% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS No 2.34 2.49 29% Cashed +1.34 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.93 1.89 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.55 1.49 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 1.50 70% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 1.20 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.47 1.44 55% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.43 1.49 52% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Draw 3.40 3.45 26% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.32 4.50 13% Cashed +3.32 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +1.66u +11% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
COM – ROM @ 1.67
+14.6%
Edge
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