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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Parma

Predictions by Market: Inter vs Parma

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 16:00
3:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
L D L W L Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Kevin Bonacina

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · INT
82%
Best 1.18
Draw
14%
Best 9.10
Away Win · PAR
4%
Best 18.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 8.25
Fair odds
7.40
book 8.25 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +11.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (82%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 13.5%
Odds 8.25
Show model details
Implied probability 12.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 4.1%
Odds 17.25
Show model details
Implied probability 5.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 6.58
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 84%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 4.1%
Odds 13.50
Show model details
Implied probability 7.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 17.6%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
INT – PAR @ 8.25
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →