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Home › Italy › Serie A › Inter — Parma

Inter vs Parma 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Inter
Inter
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 16:00
3:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
L D L W L Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Kevin Bonacina
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.94 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.74 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 46% · book 2.02 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.50 – 0.51
Δ +1.99
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 8.25 — +11.5% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 8.25 ✗ Lost
AI 14% Implied 12% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

INT 3-5-2 · PAR 3-4-2-1
INT · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · PAR 1 Martínez 28 Pavard 31 Bisseck 30 Augusto 17 Diouf 8 Sučić ⚽ 20 Çalhanoğlu ⚽ 22 Mkhitaryan 32 Dimarco 94 Esposito 9 Thuram ⚽ 40 Corvi 15 Del Prato 34 Carlos 37 Troilo 29 Carboni 16 Keita 4 Sierro 14 Valeri 19 Touré 80 Fabbian 23 Elphege
Subs used · INT
61' Bonny ↑ · Esposito ↓
61' Martínez ↑ · Thuram ↓
61' Stankovic ↑ · Çalhanoğlu ↓
73' Henrique ↑ · Dimarco ↓
73' Spence ↑ · Diouf ↓
Subs used · PAR
61' Romero ↑ · Elphege ↓
62' Lontani ↑ · Fabbian ↓
62' García ↑ · Sierro ↓
78' Britschgi ↑ · Carboni ↓
84' Frigan ↑ · Toure ↓

Statistics

INT 3 – 0 PAR
59%
Possession (%)
41%
2.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.51
19
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
2
9
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
1
6
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
9
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

13 · 3 – 0
Petar Sučić
1–0
⚽
13'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu (P)
Penalty · 2–0
⚽
18'
Marcus Thuram
Assist · Henrikh Mkhitaryan · 3–0
⚽
31'
Half-time · 3 – 0
Ange-Yoan Bonny ↓ · Pio Esposito ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
Lautaro Martínez ↓ · Marcus Thuram ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
Aleksandar Stankovic ↓ · Hakan Çalhanoğlu ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
61'
61'
⇄
José David Romero ↓ · Nesta Elphege ↑
Substitution 1
62'
⇄
Simone Lontani ↓ · Giovanni Fabbian ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⇄
Adrián Bernabé García ↓ · Vincent Sierro ↑
Substitution 3
Luis Henrique ↓ · Federico Dimarco ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
73'
Djed Spence ↓ · Andy Diouf ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
73'
78'
⇄
Sascha Britschgi ↓ · Franco Carboni ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
Matija Frigan ↓ · El Bilal Toure ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Inter beat Parma 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.50 to 0.51. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: Petar Sučić (13'), Hakan Çalhanoğlu (18'), Marcus Thuram (31').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.72 units (Brier 0.081).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.94 1.91 56% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS No 1.74 1.70 54% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.02 2.08 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.94 1.91 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.20 3.00 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 8.25 8.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.03 1.02 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.14 1.16 82% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 1.04 82% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.58 6.49 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 5.50 5.49 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.08 1.07 84% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.32 1.36 66% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Away Win 17.25 16.39 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 13.50 12.99 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −5.72u −38% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
INT – PAR @ 8.25
+11.5%
Edge
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