P
Prognosist
P
Home › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — Fiorentina

Predictions by Market: Genoa vs Fiorentina

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
L L W D L Away · last 5
Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Fabio Maresca

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GEN
24%
Best 3.45
Draw
27%
Best 3.38
Away Win · FIO
50%
Best 2.33
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.28 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +13.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.3%
Odds 9.30
Show model details
Implied probability 10.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 23.5%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
GEN – FIO @ 2.28
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →