Genoa vs Fiorentina 2:1: Match Review & Stats
Genoa
Home · last 5
L
L
D
L
W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Luigi Ferraris · Genoa
Referee Fabio Maresca
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.28
✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 1.99
✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.80
✗
xG (open play)
1.41 – 0.99
Δ +0.42
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Away Win at 2.28 — +13.6% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.28
✗ Lost
AI 50%
Implied 44%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
GEN 3-4-2-1 · FIO 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
GEN 2
– 1 FIO
1.41
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.99
⏱ Match events
21 · 2 – 1
Milutin Osmajić
Assist · Mikael Ellertsson · 1–0
⚽
7'
Junior Messias
Assist · Milutin Osmajić · 2–0
⚽
15'
21'
▮
Christ Inao Oulaï
Yellow Card
45'
⇄
Alieu Njie ↓ · Christ Inao Oulaï ↑
Substitution 1
45'
⇄
Viery ↓ · Luca Ranieri ↑
Substitution 2
Half-time · 2 – 0
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira ↓ · Junior Messias ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
57'
Samuel Wiafe ↓ · Stephan El Shaarawy ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
57'
65'
⇄
Mateo Pellegrino ↓ · Beto ↑
Substitution 3
Alessandro Marcandalli ↓ · Sebastian Otoa ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
66'
73'
⚽
Johan Vásquez
Own goal · 2–1
Hamed Junior Traorè
Yellow Card
▮
74'
80'
⇄
Domilson Dodo ↓ · Álex Jiménez ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⇄
Pedro Goncalves ↓ · Wilfried Gnonto ↑
Substitution 5
David Puczka ↓ · Kingsley Ehizibue ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
Stefano Sabelli ↓ · Mikael Ellertsson ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
Johan Vásquez
Yellow Card
▮
84'
Vítor Manuel Carvalho Oliveira
Yellow Card
▮
90+1'
Stefano Sabelli
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 2 – 1
Match recap
Genoa beat Fiorentina 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: Milutin Osmajić (7'), Junior Messias (15'), Johan Vásquez (73').
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.73 units (Brier 0.231).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Away Win |
2.28 |
2.30 |
50% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
1.99 |
1.98 |
49% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.80 |
1.80 |
53% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.00 |
2.10 |
47% |
Cashed |
+1.00 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.75 |
1.78 |
51% |
Cashed |
+0.75 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.67 |
1.63 |
50% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.28 |
2.35 |
23% |
Cashed |
+1.28 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.36 |
1.34 |
77% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.60 |
1.62 |
50% |
Cashed |
+0.60 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
3.00 |
3.32 |
23% |
Cashed |
+2.00 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
1.05 |
91% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.28 |
1.28 |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.28 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.32 |
3.40 |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.31 |
1.31 |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.31 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.44 |
3.52 |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.28 |
3.19 |
27% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
9.30 |
9.01 |
9% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−2.73u |
−16% ROI |
