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Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Lecce

Predictions by Market: AC Milan vs Lecce

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 W D D W D
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 18:45
3:0
Full-time
Lecce
Lecce
L L W L L Away · last 5
Referee Federico La Penna, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
77%
Best 1.29
Draw
20%
Best 6.29
Away Win · LEC
15%
Best 12.60
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.10
Fair odds
1.93
book 2.10 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 52% · EV +8.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 15.3%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.3%
Odds 4.88
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.4%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.6%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 51.8%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 60.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 92.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 15.3%
Odds 6.43
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 32.4%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
MIL – LEC @ 2.10
+8.7%
Edge
Forecast →