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Home Italy Serie A AC Milan — Lecce

Preview AC Milan vs Lecce September 20, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Lecce
Lecce
W Away · last 5
Home Win · MIL
%
Best
Draw
%
Best
Away Win · LEC
%
Best
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
AC Milan
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.48 / 1.56
Lecce
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 8 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.37 / 1.86

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
2
1
Goals Conceded
0
1.61
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
3
59
Possession (%)
29
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
DEF · home
60
OFF · away
80
60
DEF · away
20
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

AC Milan wins when scoring first
80%
Lecce wins when scoring first
100%
AC Milan BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Lecce BTTS rate · last 10
30%
AC Milan Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Lecce Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
AC Milan comeback rate · last 10
0%
Lecce comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

AC Milan · last 10 at home

0–15 10%
16–30 0%
31–45 20%
46–60 20%
61–75 10%
76–90 40%

Lecce · last 10 away

0–15 27%
16–30 9%
31–45 0%
46–60 18%
61–75 18%
76–90 27%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

A. Rabiot
MIL · Midfielder
1 G
A. Cissè
MIL · Attacker
1 G
Tiago Gabriel
LEC · Defender
1 G
Olaf Gorter
LEC · Midfielder
1 G